For a second consecutive year, Tiger Woods is poised to make a huge jump in the Official World Golf Ranking at the Hero World Challenge – no matter how he plays.

Woods enters this week at No.1,199, sandwiched between Nicolas Tacher and George Gandranata. But OWGR guru Nosferatu (Twitter handle @VC606) calculates the 14-time Major champ will climb more than 250 spots just for finishing four rounds in the Bahamas. And a win in the limited-field event would propel Woods all the way to approximately No.135. Check out this chart:

And here’s a graph:

Of course, winning doesn’t seem likely for Woods, who is returning to competitive golf after undergoing a fourth back surgery in April. Various sportsbooks have listed him as the clear long shot in the 18-man field with BookMaker putting him as low as 45-to-1 odds. In fact, sportsbooks think there’s more of a chance that Woods finishes last or withdraws than him finishing in the top five.