With only one more men’s major to go in 2023—and with that one being the one that probably produces the most surprising winners—we will try not to miss out on another longshot at Royal Liverpool like we did at the US Open last month (thanks Wyndham Clark!). So with that, here’s our ranking (odds courtesy of Bet 365) of best bets as we head into the Open Championship.

1. Scottie Scheffler ($10) 1499331640

Reason to pick: I’m sticking with Scottie here because I can’t see him not winning a major this year (although he did win the Players), and he literally never has a bad week with 17 consecutive top-12 finishes, including six top fives. You’re also getting a (slightly) better price than tournament favourite Rory McIlroy.

Cause for concern: This has been his weakest of the four majors, but he’s also only played in two Open Championships, finishing T-8 in 2021 and T-21 last year.

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2. Cameron Smith ($17)1490675817

Reason to pick: He’s the reigning Open champ and he’s finished in the top 10 in each of the past two majors. Those results, a T9 at the PGA and a fourth at the US Open, were career-best finishes in those majors.

Cause for concern: It’s a small sample size, but he’s lost strokes to the field off the tee in eight measured major championship rounds in 2023.

3. Brooks Koepka ($15)1498227642

Harry How

Reason to pick: Like Scottie, the British isn’t his best major, but he still has four top-10s in his past six starts because he’s Brooks Koepka and he (almost) always shows up in the majors.

Cause for concern: A slow Sunday pairing like he got with J.B. Holmes at the 2019 Open.

4. Rickie Fowler ($34)1501865217

Reason to pick: Believe the hype! Rickie’s back!

Cause for concern: As impressive as that was when Fowler finished T-2 at Royal Liverpool in 2014, it was still 10 years ago. 

5. Jon Rahm ($10)1499563619

Reason to pick: He’s Jon Rahm and he already has four wins this year, including a green jacket.

Cause for concern: Wait, he hasn’t won since the Masters?! That’s nearly three months! Dare we say Jon Rahm is in a slump?!

6. Xander Schauffele ($21)1498719244

Ezra Shaw

Reason to pick: The US Open at LACC, where he opened with 62, was the latest brush with a major championship leaderboard for this seven-time PGA Tour winner.

Cause for concern: It was also the latest disappointment for this (still) zero-time major champ.

7. Tommy Fleetwood ($26)1499559684

Reason to pick: In the wake of Nick Taylor at the Canadian Open and Keegan Bradley at the Travelers Championship, can we see another “hometown” guy get the job done? Fleetwood has been close with that playoff loss in Canada and a second Sunday 63 at a US Open.

Cause for concern: Closing the door has always been an issue for the 32-year-old who has yet to win a PGA Tour event and has “only” six DP World Tour titles.

8. Viktor Hovland ($21)1495947698

Reason to pick: One of the great drivers of the golf ball, Hovland played in the final group at last year’s Open Championship.

Cause for concern: As we famously saw with Tiger Woods in 2006, how much do you even need your driver at this course?

9. Jordan Spieth ($19)1499020102

Reason to pick: He’s played much too well this season to not have a win, and he already won an Open in England.

Cause for concern: That victory at Royal Birkdale in 2017 was his last major win—and he’s only won two other times anywhere since.

10. Tyrrell Hatton ($34)1497271794

Reason to pick: The Englishman sneakily trails only Scottie Scheffler and Jon Rahm in strokes gained total this season on the PGA Tour, and yet you’re getting him for nearly three times the odds.

Cause for concern: Just how much does he hate Royal Liverpool?

11. Adam Scott ($67)1491374257

Reason to pick: We’ve seen a revitalised Adam Scott of late, and he once had four consecutive top-10s at the Open, including a T-5 at Royal Liverpool in 2014.

Cause for concern: He hasn’t had a top-10 in any major in four years.

12. Rory McIlroy ($8.5 favourite)452479724

Reason to pick: He won his lone claret jug at Hoylake in 2014. And like Scheffler, he’s in the mix every Sunday.

Cause for concern: Unlike Scheffler, he hasn’t won a major in nine years. And is he still having nightmares about Mullet Man? Speaking of …

13. Min Woo Lee ($81)1499561837

Reason to pick: He absolutely roasts the ball, he won a firm and fast Scottish Open in 2021, and he’s coming off a T-5 at the PGA Championship and a top-10 at the Travelers. Oh yeah, 65-to-1 odds seems pretty tempting …

Cause for concern: The suddenly popular player has never been in serious contention down the stretch at a major.