All 30 players teeing it up at East Lake have a shot at the $10 million postseason prize, but only a select few control their destiny. Here are the scenarios enabling each player to win the 2016 FedEx Cup:
1 Dustin Johnson
- Wins the Tour Championship
- Reasonable chance of winning with a top-5 finish
- Can finish as low as 29th and still have mathematical chance at Cup
2 Patrick Reed
- Wins the Tour Championship
- Reasonable chance of winning with top-3 finish
- Can finish as low as a two-way tie for sixth and still have mathematical chance of winning
3 Adam Scott
- Wins the Tour Championship
- Reasonable chance of winning with second place finish
- Can finish as low as T-4 and still have mathematical chance of winning
4 Jason Day
- Wins the Tour Championship
- Has a reasonable chance of winning with a second place finish
- Can finish as low as T-3 and still have mathematical chance of winning
5 Paul Casey
- Wins the Tour Championship
- Can finish as low as a two-way tie for second and still have mathematical chance of winning
6 Rory McIlroy
- Wins the Tour Championship AND Dustin Johnson finishes T-2 or worse
- Can finish second and still have mathematical chance of winning
7 Jordan Spieth
- Wins the Tour Championship AND…
- Dustin Johnson finishes in a three-way tie for second or worse
- Patrick Reed finishes T-2 or worse
8 Russell Knox
- Wins the Tour Championship AND…
- Dustin Johnson finishes third* or worse
- Patrick Reed finishes T-2* or worse
- Adam Scott finishes second* or worse
- *Tie for the FedEx Cup
9 Emiliano Grillo
- Wins the Tour Championship AND…
- Dustin Johnson finishes in a three-way tie for third or worse
- Patrick Reed finishes third or worse
- Adam Scott finishes T-2 or worse
- Jason Day finishes second or worse*
- *Tie for the FedEx Cup
10 Jimmy Walker
- Wins the Tour Championship AND…
- Dustin Johnson finishes fifth or worse
- Patrick Reed finishes in a three-way tie for third or worse
- Adam Scott finishes in a three-way tie for second or worse
- Jason Day finishes in T-2 or worse
- Paul Casey finishes second* or worse
- *Tie for the FedEx Cup
11 Brandt Snedeker
- Wins the Tour Championship AND…
- Dustin Johnson finishes T-6 or worse
- Patrick Reed finishes T-4 or worse
- Adam Scott finishes T-3 or worse
- Jason Day finishes in a three-way tie for second or worse
- Paul Casey finishes T-2 or worse
12 Justin Thomas
- Wins the Tour Championship AND…
- Dustin Johnson finishes in a three-way tie for T-6 or worse
- Patrick Reed finishes T-4 or worse
- Adam Scott finishes T-3 or worse
- Jason Day finishes in a three-way tie for second or worse
- Paul Casey finishes T-2 or worse
13 Phil Mickelson
- Wins the Tour Championship AND…
- Dustin Johnson finishes T-7 or worse
- Patrick Reed finishes T-4 or worse
- Adam Scott finishes T-3 or worse
- Jason Day finishes in a three-way tie for second or worse
- Paul Casey finishes T-2 or worse
14 Ryan Moore
- Wins the Tour Championship AND…
- Dustin Johnson finishes T-8 or worse
- Patrick Reed finishes T-4 or worse
- Adam Scott finishes T-3 or worse
- Jason Day finishes in a three-way tie for second or worse
- Paul Casey finishes T-2 or worse
15 Kevin Chappell
- Wins the Tour Championship AND…
- Dustin Johnson finishes ninth* or worse
- Patrick Reed finishes T-4 or worse
- Adam Scott finishes T-3 or worse
- Jason Day finishes in a three-way tie for second or worse
- Paul Casey finishes T-2 or worse
- *Tie for the FedEx Cup
16 Matt Kuchar
- Wins the Tour Championship AND…
- Dustin Johnson finishes in a three-way tie for ninth or worse
- Patrick Reed finishes in a three-way tie for fourth or worse
- Adam Scott finishes T-3 or worse
- Jason Day finishes third or worse
- Paul Casey finishes T-2 or worse
17 Hideki Matsuyama
- Wins the Tour Championship AND…
- Dustin Johnson finishes in a three-way tie for 10th or worse
- Patrick Reed finishes in a three-way tie for fourth or worse
- Adam Scott finishes in a three-way tie for third or worse
- Jason Day finishes third or worse
- Paul Casey finishes T-2 or worse
18 Si Woo Kim
- Wins the Tour Championship AND…
- Dustin Johnson finishes T-11 or worse
- Patrick Reed finishes fifth or worse
- Adam Scott finishes in a three-way tie for third or worse
- Jason Day finishes third or worse
- Paul Casey finishes in a three-way tie for second or worse
19 Kevin Kisner
- Wins the Tour Championship AND…
- Dustin Johnson finishes T-12 or worse
- Patrick Reed finishes fifth or worse
- Adam Scott finishes in a three-way tie for third or worse
- Jason Day finishes third or worse
- Paul Casey finishes in a three-way tie for second or worse
- Rory McIlroy finishes T-2 or worse
20 Gary Woodland
- Wins the Tour Championship AND…
- Dustin Johnson finishes in a three-way tie for T-12 or worse
- Patrick Reed finishes fifth or worse
- Adam Scott finishes in a three-way tie for third or worse
- Jason Day finishes third or worse
- Paul Casey finishes in a three-way tie for second or worse
- Rory McIlroy finishes T-2 or worse
21 Roberto Castro
- Wins the Tour Championship AND…
- Dustin Johnson finishes 13th* or worse
- Patrick Reed finishes fifth* or worse
- Adam Scott finishes in a three-way tie for third or worse
- Jason Day finishes third* or worse
- Paul Casey finishes in a three-way tie for second or worse
- Rory McIlroy finishes T-2 or worse
- *Tie for the FedEx Cup
22 Kevin Na
- Wins the Tour Championship AND…
- Dustin Johnson finishes in a three-way tie for 13th or worse
- Patrick Reed finishes T-5 or worse
- Adam Scott finishes in a three-way tie for third or worse
- Jason Day finishes T-3 or worse
- Paul Casey finishes in a three-way tie for second or worse
- Rory McIlroy finishes T-2 or worse
23 William McGirt
- Wins the Tour Championship AND…
- Dustin Johnson finishes 15th* or worse
- Patrick Reed finishes T-5 or worse
- Adam Scott finishes in a three-way tie for third or worse
- Jason Day finishes T-3 or worse
- Paul Casey finishes in a three-way tie for second or worse
- Rory McIlroy finishes T-2 or worse
24 Bubba Watson
- Wins the Tour Championship AND…
- Dustin Johnson finishes 17th* or worse
- Patrick Reed finishes in a three-way tie for fifth or worse
- Adam Scott finishes in a three-way tie for third or worse
- Jason Day finishes T-3 or worse
- Paul Casey finishes in a three-way tie for second or worse
- Rory McIlroy finishes T-2 or worse
- *Tie for the FedEx Cup
25 Sean O’Hair
- Wins the Tour Championship AND…
- Dustin Johnson finishes 19th* or worse
- Patrick Reed finishes in a three-way tie for fifth or worse
- Adam Scott finishes fourth or worse
- Jason Day finishes T-3 or worse
- Paul Casey finishes in a three-way tie for second or worse
- Rory McIlroy finishes T-2 or worse
- *Tie for the FedEx Cup
26 Daniel Berger
- Wins the Tour Championship AND…
- Dustin Johnson finishes 21st* or worse
- Patrick Reed finishes sixth or worse
- Adam Scott finishes fourth or worse
- Jason Day finishes T-3 or worse
- Paul Casey finishes in a three-way tie for second or worse
- Rory McIlroy finishes T-2 or worse
- *Tie for the FedEx Cup
27 Jason Dufner
- Wins the Tour Championship AND…
- Dustin Johnson finishes 23rd* or worse
- Patrick Reed finishes T-6 or worse
- Adam Scott finishes T-4 or worse
- Jason Day finishes T-3 or worse
- Paul Casey finishes in a three-way tie for second or worse
- Rory McIlroy finishes T-2 or worse
- *Tie for the FedEx Cup
28 J.B. Holmes
- Wins the Tour Championship AND…
- Dustin Johnson finishes 25th* or worse
- Patrick Reed finishes T-6 or worse
- Adam Scott finishes T-4 or worse
- Jason Day finishes T-3 or worse
- Paul Casey finishes in a three-way tie for second or worse
- Rory McIlroy finishes T-2 or worse
- *Tie for the FedEx Cup
29 Jhonatthan Vegas
- Wins the Tour Championship AND…
- Dustin Johnson finishes 27th* or worse
- Patrick Reed finishes in a three-way tie for sixth or worse
- Adam Scott finishes T-4 or worse
- Jason Day finishes T-3 or worse
- Paul Casey finishes in a three-way tie for second or worse
- Rory McIlroy finishes T-2 or worse
- *Tie for the FedEx Cup
30 Charl Schwartzel
- Wins the Tour Championship AND…
- Dustin Johnson finishes 29th* or worse
- Patrick Reed finishes in a three-way tie for sixth or worse
- Adam Scott finishes T-4 or worse
- Jason Day finishes T-3 or worse
- Paul Casey finishes in a three-way tie for second or worse
- Rory McIlroy finishes T-2 or worse
- *Tie for the FedEx Cup
