It’s hard to believe, but the final major of 2025 is upon us. Whether you’ve hit ’em all and are hoping to clinch a calendar grand slam or are still looking for your first win, this is it, the last big kahuna of the season.

Unfortunately for bettors, the British Open (now the Open Championship) has always been one of the toughest majors to predict. The nature of links golf and the fickle whims of mother nature often level the playing field, leading to host of surprise winners over the years, from Brian Harman to Darren Clarke. If you want to give yourself the best shot of ending the major season on a high note, you’ll need to look past the odds. That’s where SportsLine’s wildly successful computer model comes in. Developed by DFS expert Mike McClure, the model has successfully hit 15 majors since 2020 and now has it’s sights set on Royal Portrush. After 10,000 simulations, here’s how it sees the top 10 shaking out in Northern Ireland this week. (DraftKings winner odds in parentheses as of 7/14).

1. Scottie Scheffler (+450)

2. Jon Rahm (+1200)

3. Xander Schauffele (+2500)

4. Rory McIlroy (+700)

5. Bryson DeChambeau (+2000)

6. Tommy Fleetwood (+2800)

7. Ludvig Aberg (+2800)

8. Shane Lowry (+3000)

9. Justin Thomas (+5000)

10. Tyrrell Hatton (+3000)

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Stuart Kerr/R&A

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Despite the unique nature of the Open, not even a computer can pick against Scottie Scheffler right now. If you’re just looking to set it and forget it this weekend, lay down some money on Scheffler, hedge a few bucks on Rahm and pray the wind doesn’t blow. The model does reveal some interesting market inefficiencies, however. There’s potentially big value in Justin Thomas, who the computer projects to have top-10 stuff this week despite having just the 14th-best odds to win according to DraftKings. JT is currently +360 to finish in the top 10 on DraftKings. Tommy Fleetwood, reigning champ Xander Schauffele and Shane Lowry, who won the last time the Open came to Portrush, also offer excellent value according to the model.

On the flip side are former Open champions like Rory McIlroy and Collin Morikawa. McIlroy has the second highest odds to win behind Scheffler, just like the Masters when he rewarded bettors with a victory, but is predicted to finish outside the top 3 according to the SportsLine model. Morikawa meanwhile is the 6th favorite according to DraftKings, but is projected 12th by the computer.

Take this with a grain of salt, of course. As we said before, the Open is aberrative by nature. It’s unpredictability is a big part of what makes the tournament so unique and so beloved. But if you are looking to close the major season strong, we suggest you ignore your gut and listen to the computer model that’s correctly predicted 68% of major winners over the past half decade.

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This article was originally published on golfdigest.com