[PHOTO: Orlando Ramirez]

Nick Dunlap got a trophy, a firm handshake and clarity about where he can tee it up through 2026 thanks to his win at the PGA Tour’s American Express tournament. What he didn’t get was the prizemoney professionals can accept. Dunlap, a 20-year-old University of Alabama sophomore, set himself up for plenty of complicated decisions – turn professional and cash in or stay amateur and try to win an NCAA title with his university teammates – but whatever he decides, he won’t be living on ramen noodles and Taco Bell. Here’s how Dunlap’s financial horizon looks in the near term and what factors he’s undoubtedly considering before deciding where to tee it up next.

Is turning pro a no-brainer for Nick Dunlap? Here’s his status if he does or doesn’t

How much could Dunlap make if he turns professional right now?

There aren’t any recent precedents for amateurs winning PGA Tour events, but two amateur stars who might serve as comparables are Viktor Hovland and Bryson DeChambeau, both US Amateur champions who turned pro less than a year after winning the Havemeyer Trophy. Player managers who spoke to Golf Digest for our 2023 ranking of the highest-paid players placed those two as receiving $US3 million to $US5 million for clubs and clothes upon turning professional – Hovland in mid-2019 and DeChambeau after the 2016 Masters.

What events could Dunlap play in if he turns pro?

Pretty much all of them. With the exception of his exemption into the Open Championship for winning the 2023 US Amateur, which he would lose if he becomes a professional, Dunlap could play in the other three majors, the Players Championship and, perhaps most importantly, the rest of the signature events on the PGA Tour schedule this season. Those events pay more prizemoney and confer more FedEx Cup and world ranking points, which give a young player an enormous advantage when it comes to retaining playing status for multiple years. Compare the entry path for Scottie Scheffler and Collin Morikawa, and it’s easy to see the advantage an early win bestows. Scheffler missed at Q-School and had to play a full year on the Korn Ferry Tour before starting his PGA Tour career. Morikawa won the Barracuda Championship and had a couple of top-fives during his first year as a professional and never looked back.

What about LIV?

If Dunlap turns pro and his management team doesn’t field an offer from LIV Golf, they’re committing malpractice. Just as there was a market for Oklahoma State University star Eugenio Lopez Chacarra, there’s one for Dunlap. Lopez Chacarra took a LIV deal, won $US7 million in prizemoney and was one of the top 50 earners in golf with his LIV signing bonus added in. As an American reigning US Amateur champ and PGA Tour winner, Dunlap could field a signing bonus orders of magnitude higher than Lopez Chacarra’s estimated $US10 million.

Nick Dunlap is still a mystery. Let’s enjoy it

Can he profit off his win if he stays an amateur?

Yes, in the same way American college football players like Shedeur Sanders and college gymnasts like Olivia Dunne are through Name-Image-Likeness (NIL) payments. College athletes are permitted to accept payment for endorsements, and the USGA has decided that if it’s OK for the NCAA, it’s OK for their competitions, too. Sanders and USC basketball player Bronny James make more than $US4.5 million a year. Nobody who plays golf is anywhere near that neighbourhood, although Dunlap’s head-to-toe NIL deal with adidas is bound to go up, especially if the brand wants to keep the inside track to signing him as a professional. Another key factor for NIL money is Dunlap’s exemption into big professional events even if he stays amateur. Those logos will be on television a lot, and that’s what drives big dollars. Whether Dunlap is playing for himself or for the Alabama ‘Crimson Tide’, there’s sure to be an avalanche of attention on him at Augusta National, and he’s going to get paid for that no matter what.

What happened to the first-place cheque Dunlap couldn’t accept?

Christiaan Bezuidenhout might not have won, but it was still his lucky day. He cashed the $US1.5 million ($A2.3 million) “winner’s” cheque even though he finished second. He also got the 300 FedEx Cup points that go to a runner-up, putting him in excellent early-season position to stay eligible for the signature events.